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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader

Fastest route to "PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Michael Thorbjornsen 100% Ludvig Aberg 0% Akshay Bhatia 0% Jacob Bridgeman 0% Volume: $99K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Thorbjornsen100%
Ludvig Aberg0%
Akshay Bhatia0%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Sam Burns0%
Patrick Cantlay0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Bud Cauley0%
Wyndham Clark0%
Eric Cole0%
Corey Conners0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Nicolas Echavarria0%
Harris English0%
Steven Fisk0%
Alex Fitzpatrick0%
Matt Fitzpatrick0%
Tommy Fleetwood0%
Rickie Fowler0%
Ryan Fox0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Chris Gotterup0%
Ben Griffin0%
Harry Hall0%
Brian Harman0%
Russell Henley0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Nicolai Hojgaard0%
Max Homa0%
Viktor Hovland0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Michael Kim0%
Si Woo Kim0%
Tom Kim0%
Kurt Kitayama0%
Jake Knapp0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Min Woo Lee0%
Shane Lowry0%
Robert MacIntyre0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Matt McCarty0%
Rory McIlroy0%
Maverick McNealy0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Collin Morikawa0%
Alexander Noren0%
JT Poston0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Aaron Rai0%
Kristoffer Reitan0%
Patrick Rodgers0%
Justin Rose0%
Xander Schauffele0%
Scottie Scheffler0%
Matthias Schmid0%
Adam Scott0%
Alex Smalley0%
Jordan L. Smith0%
J.J. Spaun0%
Jordan Spieth0%
Sam Stevens0%
Sepp Straka0%
Nick Taylor0%
Sahith Theegala0%
Justin Thomas0%
Gary Woodland0%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju0%
Cameron Young0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

The FedEx St. Jude Championship, held annually in Memphis, Tennessee, serves as the opening event of the PGA Tour's FedEx Cup playoffs. The 2026 edition will determine which player records the lowest score relative to par after eighteen holes of stroke play. Tiebreaker protocols favour back-nine performance, then eagle count, then birdie count, establishing a clear hierarchy for settlement. The current 0% implied probability suggests minimal market activity or liquidity, typical for niche first-round leader markets where information asymmetry remains high until field announcements and practice-round data emerge.

Historical precedent shows first-round leader markets attract meaningful volume only after field confirmation and weather forecasts materialise. The St. Jude Championship typically draws elite players seeking FedEx Cup positioning; course conditions at TPC Southwind—a par-70 layout averaging 7,100+ yards—reward accuracy off the tee and precision iron play. Recent editions have seen leaders post 65–67 scores, with first-round edges often erased by field depth. Comparable PGA Tour opening-round markets on Polymarket have resolved with book depth correlating directly to deposit availability via Klarna and SEPA rails; markets with sub-£500 liquidity rarely attract traders without friction-free funding access.

Traders should monitor official PGA Tour field announcements (typically six weeks pre-tournament) and weather forecasts for Memphis in August 2026. Deposit friction remains the primary constraint on market traction; USDC on-ramps and Klarna's deferred payment options historically drive participation in low-liquidity sports markets. Course setup reports and practice-round scoring will signal whether consensus tightens around favourites or disperses across the field.

Methodology

This page compares PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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