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PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner

Trade "PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Scottie Scheffler 24% Rory McIlroy 7% Xander Schauffele 6% Keith Mitchell 5% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $680K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
24% 76% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
24% 76% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler24%
Rory McIlroy7%
Xander Schauffele6%
Keith Mitchell5%
Cameron Young5%
Ludvig Aberg4%
Sam Burns4%
Matt Fitzpatrick4%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Chris Gotterup4%
Viktor Hovland4%
Si Woo Kim4%
Collin Morikawa4%
Patrick Cantlay3%
Wyndham Clark3%
Kurt Kitayama3%
Jake Knapp3%
Hideki Matsuyama3%
Maverick McNealy3%
Michael Brennan2%
Jacob Bridgeman2%
Eric Cole2%
Nicolas Echavarria2%
Rickie Fowler2%
Ryan Fox2%
Ryan Gerard2%
Russell Henley2%
Ryo Hisatsune2%
Nicolai Hojgaard2%
Tom Kim2%
Min Woo Lee2%
Alexander Noren2%
JT Poston2%
Kristoffer Reitan2%
Justin Rose2%
Adam Scott2%
J.J. Spaun2%
Justin Thomas2%
Michael Thorbjornsen2%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Bud Cauley1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Ben Griffin1%
Robert MacIntyre1%
Aaron Rai1%
Alex Smalley1%
Sepp Straka1%
Sahith Theegala1%
Gary Woodland1%
Matt McCarty0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

The 2026 BMW Championship will be contested in August as the second event of the PGA Tour's three-tournament FedEx Cup playoffs, determining which players advance to the Tour Championship. The tournament format typically features the top 70 players in FedEx Cup standings competing over 72 holes at Wilmington Country Club in Delaware. A 4% implied probability on a listed player reflects either a deep field with dispersed odds or a player whose recent form or injury status has reduced backing relative to favourites.

Historical BMW Championship results show that winners often emerge from the top 20 in FedEx Cup standings entering the event, though upsets occur when form peaks during playoff season. The 2025 winner will provide direct precedent for field composition and scoring patterns. Comparable majors and playoff events typically see favourite odds cluster between 8–15%, with mid-tier contenders at 3–6%, suggesting the 4% mark indicates either a player ranked outside the immediate contention window or one facing fitness concerns that have not yet triggered official elimination.

Traders should monitor PGA Tour announcements regarding field confirmations in July 2026, injury updates to listed players, and FedEx Cup standings as they crystallise in the weeks prior. Recent tournament schedules show the BMW Championship consistently held in late August; any calendar shifts would affect preparation windows. Deposit friction via Klarna or SEPA transfers may influence book depth if liquidity concentrates around major announcement dates, particularly if a listed player's status changes materially closer to the settlement window.

Methodology

This page compares PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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Trade PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner on Polymarket Klarna UK

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