United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

The United States men’s national team will face Bosnia and Herzegovina in a FIFA World Cup Round of 32 knockout match at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium on 1 July 2026, with the outcome determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. The market “United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina – Exact Score” currently shows a 6% implied probability for a specific listed outcome, reflecting tight book depth driven by recent funding flows through Klarna and USDC on-ramps.

Historically, specific exact-score markets in World Cup knockout rounds rarely exceed 8% probability unless one side is heavily favoured; in the 2022 tournament, only three exact-score outcomes surpassed 7%, all involving dominant teams like France or Argentina. The USA’s recent form—winning 2–0 against Australia and losing 3–2 to Turkey in group stages—suggests volatility, while Bosnia’s World Cup record (2–3–1) and fourth H2H meeting with the USA (USA unbeaten in three prior friendlies) frame the 6% figure as plausible but not indicative of a near-certainty [1][8].

Traders should monitor pre-match team news, particularly line-up confirmations for key USA attackers like Charlie Davies and Bosnia’s defensive setup, as well as any late weather updates at the venue. A recent CBS Sports preview highlighted Davies’ confidence in a 3–1 USA win, noting both teams are likely to score, which could shift exact-score liquidity if the market reacts to such public analysis [3]. Settlement remains open until 2 July 2026, with no extra time or penalties counted, so any delay in the match start will extend the window without altering the resolution criteria [4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Exact Score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).