Sweden vs. Tunisia - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Sweden and Tunisia will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 14 June at 10:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score," which currently absorbs the entire probability mass at 0% YES across named scorelines.

Historical World Cup matchups between these nations provide limited precedent—they have never faced each other in tournament play. Sweden's recent form shows inconsistent scoring patterns; their qualifying campaign for 2026 involved matches ranging from 1–0 victories to 3–0 wins, with defensive vulnerabilities against organised sides. Tunisia, conversely, has struggled to generate consistent attacking output in African qualifiers, often grinding out low-scoring results. Group-stage matches involving African representatives typically skew toward narrow margins: 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 outcomes account for roughly 40% of such fixtures historically. The 0% crowd probability on all named scores suggests either extreme uncertainty about the fixture's composition or insufficient liquidity depth to establish meaningful odds on individual scorelines.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury reports closer to June, particularly Sweden's attacking personnel and Tunisia's defensive setup. Fixture congestion in the days preceding the match—determined by the broader group schedule—will influence fatigue levels and tactical approach. Payment friction remains material: traders depositing via Klarna or SEPA transfers should confirm settlement timings, as withdrawal rails may delay capital access until after the 15 June resolution window closes. Book depth will likely improve once group-stage draw details crystallise and comparable matches begin pricing in late 2025.

Methodology

We track Sweden vs. Tunisia - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Klarna UK?

Zero. Polymarket Klarna UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.