Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The halftime result market settles on the scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, with three outcomes: Haiti win, draw, or Scotland win. Current crowd pricing reflects 0% probability on a Haiti halftime lead, suggesting market participants view Scotland as heavily favoured in the opening half.

Historical World Cup halftime patterns show that group-stage matches involving lower-ranked sides rarely produce upset leads by the 45-minute mark. Scotland (currently ranked 37th by FIFA) enters as a significant favourite against Haiti (ranked 99th), and early-match dynamics in tournament football typically favour established sides with superior possession and pressing intensity. Comparable fixtures—such as Iceland versus Croatia in 2018 or Panama versus Belgium in 2018—saw the higher-ranked team establish control within the first half, though not always via goals. The 0% probability on Haiti reflects both the ranking disparity and the structural advantage Scotland holds in midfield organisation and set-piece delivery.

Traders monitoring this market should track team news releases through early June, particularly injury updates affecting Scotland's starting eleven and Haiti's defensive shape. Fixture scheduling and travel logistics matter; teams arriving later or managing congestion in their preparation window sometimes start sluggishly. Deposit flows via Klarna and SEPA corridors typically spike 48 hours before tournament matches, so book depth may increase substantially as settlement approaches. The narrow settlement window—closing at 01:00 UTC on 14 June—leaves minimal time for late repositioning once the match begins.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Klarna UK?

Zero. Polymarket Klarna UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.