Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market prices exact final scores at 0% probability across all listed outcomes, indicating either extremely low trading volume or a consensus that the match will produce a scoreline not explicitly enumerated. Settlement occurs 90 minutes after kickoff, excluding extra time and penalties, with any unmatched result defaulting to "Any Other Score."

Historical World Cup encounters between Caribbean and British Isles nations show wide variance in outcomes. Scotland's recent competitive record—including qualification struggles and mixed performances in Euro 2024—sits well above Haiti's ranking (currently 89th globally versus Scotland's 37th), yet exact-score markets in low-liquidity fixtures often reflect deposit friction rather than genuine predictive confidence. When payment rails remain cumbersome—whether through SEPA delays, Klarna settlement windows, or USDC on-ramp bottlenecks—traders avoid committing capital to niche outcomes, leaving probabilities artificially compressed toward "Any Other Score" even when underlying match dynamics favour specific results.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates from both federations through late May 2026, as these directly influence expected goal distribution. Scotland's tactical setup and Haiti's defensive vulnerabilities will shape whether the market's current flatness reflects genuine uncertainty or simply the friction cost of funding a position. Book depth typically expands only after major payment providers confirm settlement timelines and fee structures for the tournament period.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.