Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| DR Congo | 100% |
| England | 0% |
| Neither | 0% |
Market context
On 1 July 2026, England and DR Congo face off in a World Cup Round of 32 match at 12:00 ET, where the first goal within 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines the outcome. The crowd-implied probability of 0% for England scoring first suggests markets expect a goalless draw or DR Congo to strike first, despite England’s recent resilience.
Historically, low-scoring knockout matches often end in draws or late upsets, as seen when DR Congo stunned England in the 7th minute of this fixture before Kane’s 85th-minute equaliser secured a 2-1 win[1][3]. Comparable cases show that even dominant teams can fail to score early, with DR Congo’s first World Cup knockout goal coming in tears of joy after Brian Cipenga’s breakthrough[9], framing the 0% probability as a realistic reflection of early defensive solidity rather than England’s inability.
Traders should monitor Harry Kane’s fitness and England’s pressing intensity, as Kane’s two late goals in this match proved decisive[1][6]. Recent news confirms DR Congo’s early lead was a genuine threat, with fans in London celebrating the opening goal[2], so any shift in England’s midfield schedule or Kane’s availability could alter the book depth. Funding flows via Klarna, SEPA, and USDC will drive on-ramp friction and book traction, linking payment rails directly to market liquidity.
Methodology
This page compares England vs. DR Congo - First Team to Score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade England vs. DR Congo - First Team to Score on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →