Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
83% | 17% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
83% | 17% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| Norway Corners: O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| Côte d'Ivoire Corners: O/U 2.5 | 73% |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Norway Corners: O/U 4.5 | 60% |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 56% |
| Côte d'Ivoire Corners: O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 50% |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Norway Corners: O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Team to Take First Corner | 41% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Côte d'Ivoire Corners: O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 24% |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 18% |
Market context
Market consensus: 83% chance of côte d'ivoire vs. norway - total corners. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Total Corners with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Total Corners on Polymarket Klarna UK
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