Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ assists | 100% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ assists | 92% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots | 90% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ shots | 85% |
| Yassine Bounou: 2+ saves | 77% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots on target | 60% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ shots | 59% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Yassine Bounou: 3+ saves | 51% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Promise David: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Promise David: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Promise David: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Yassine Bounou: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Yassine Bounou: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots | 49% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots | 49% |
| Brahim Díaz: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ shots | 49% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ shots | 49% |
| Cyle Larin: 4+ shots | 49% |
| Cyle Larin: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Jonathan David: 4+ shots | 49% |
| Jonathan David: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Promise David: 1+ shots | 49% |
| Promise David: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Promise David: 3+ shots | 49% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots | 49% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots | 49% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots on target | 10% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots | 2% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 5+ shots | 1% |
| Brahim Díaz: 4+ shots | 1% |
| Promise David: 4+ shots | 1% |
| Promise David: 5+ shots | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ assists | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assists | 1% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ assists | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots on target | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots on target | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots on target | 1% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 2+ saves | 1% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 3+ saves | 1% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 4+ saves | 1% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 5+ saves | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Promise David: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Promise David: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Promise David: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, canada vs. morocco - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Canada and Morocco, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props on Polymarket Klarna UK
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