Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Emam Ashour: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots on target | 81% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots on target | 79% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots | 77% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shots | 76% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ shots on target | 76% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ goals + assists | 76% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ shots | 74% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ shots | 73% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals + assists | 60% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ shots | 59% |
| Omar Marmoush: 4+ shots | 57% |
| Omar Marmoush: 5+ shots | 54% |
| Emam Ashour: 4+ shots | 52% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots | 52% |
| Mohamed Salah: 4+ shots | 52% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Emam Ashour: 5+ shots | 51% |
| Mo Touré: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals + assists | 51% |
| Emam Ashour: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Maty Ryan: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Maty Ryan: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Maty Ryan: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Maty Ryan: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 1+ shots | 47% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ assists | 28% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ goals | 24% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals | 21% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals | 19% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goals | 16% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ goals | 14% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goals + assists | 14% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Mo Touré: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists | 13% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Tete Yengi: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ assists | 13% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Mo Touré: 1+ goals | 12% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 2+ goals | 12% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Tete Yengi: 2+ goals | 12% |
| Tete Yengi: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Trezeguet: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Mo Touré: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Tete Yengi: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Mo Touré: 2+ goals | 9% |
| Tete Yengi: 1+ goals | 9% |
| Mo Touré: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 1+ assists | 6% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ assists | 5% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ goals | 4% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 2+ goals | 2% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, australia vs. egypt - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Australia and Egypt, scheduled for July 3 at 2:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Australia vs. Egypt - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Australia vs. Egypt - Player Props on Polymarket Klarna UK
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