Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mostafa Zico: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Mostafa Zico: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Yasser Ibrahim: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shots | 99% |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots | 99% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots | 99% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ shots | 99% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots | 98% |
| Haissem Hassan: 1+ assists | 80% |
| Yasser Ibrahim: 1+ shots on target | 77% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots | 68% |
| Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots | 53% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ shots | 52% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists | 52% |
| Cristian Romero: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Cristian Romero: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Cristian Romero: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Mostafa Zico: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Nahuel Molina: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Thiago Almada: 4+ shots | 51% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Mostafa Zico: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Mostafa Zico: 1+ goals + assists | 51% |
| Exequiel Palacios: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Hamza Abdelkarim: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Nicolás González: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Nicolás Paz: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Facundo Medina: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Facundo Medina: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Facundo Medina: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Lisandro Martínez: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Marawan Attia: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Marawan Attia: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Mohamed Hany: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Mohamed Hany: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Mohanad Lasheen: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Mohanad Lasheen: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Mostafa Zico: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Mostafa Zico: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Nahuel Molina: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Nahuel Molina: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ramy Rabia: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Ramy Rabia: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Yasser Ibrahim: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Mostafa Zico: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Ahmed Fetouh: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cristian Romero: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cristian Romero: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Facundo Medina: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Facundo Medina: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Lionel Messi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Lionel Messi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Marawan Attia: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed Hany: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohanad Lasheen: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mostafa Zico: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nahuel Molina: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nahuel Molina: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ramy Rabia: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Juan Musso: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Juan Musso: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Juan Musso: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Juan Musso: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Leandro Paredes: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Leandro Paredes: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Leandro Paredes: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Leandro Paredes: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Lionel Messi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mostafa Zico: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mostafa Zico: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mostafa Zico: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thiago Almada: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Haissem Hassan: 2+ assists | 50% |
| Haissem Hassan: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Haissem Hassan: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Haissem Hassan: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Haissem Hassan: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots | 25% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ shots | 25% |
| Mostafa Zico: 2+ goals | 22% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | 21% |
| Mohamed Salah: 4+ shots | 19% |
| Omar Marmoush: 5+ shots | 17% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ assists | 16% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ shots | 15% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 4+ shots | 15% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals | 14% |
| Mohamed Salah: 5+ shots | 14% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 3+ shots | 14% |
| Exequiel Palacios: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Giovani Lo Celso: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Hamza Abdelkarim: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Leandro Paredes: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Thiago Almada: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Thiago Almada: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Giovani Lo Celso: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Nicolás González: 2+ goals | 12% |
| Nicolás Paz: 2+ goals | 12% |
| Nicolás Paz: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ goals | 12% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ assists | 12% |
| Mostafa Zico: 2+ assists | 12% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ assists | 12% |
| Thiago Almada: 2+ assists | 12% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assists | 8% |
| Haissem Hassan: 2+ goals | 7% |
| Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals | 7% |
| Julián Álvarez: 1+ assists | 7% |
| Leandro Paredes: 1+ assists | 7% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals | 5% |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals | 5% |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | 5% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists | 5% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists | 5% |
| Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals | 4% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals | 4% |
| Leandro Paredes: 1+ goals | 4% |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Enzo Fernández: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Julián Álvarez: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Leandro Paredes: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Haissem Hassan: 1+ goals | 2% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals | 2% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ assists | 2% |
| Enzo Fernández: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ goals | 1% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Ahmed Fetouh: 1+ shots | 1% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ shots | 1% |
| Emam Ashour: 3+ shots | 1% |
| Emam Ashour: 4+ shots | 1% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ assists | 1% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ assists | 1% |
| Emam Ashour: 5+ shots | 1% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ahmed Fetouh: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ shots | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of argentina vs. egypt - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Egypt, scheduled for July 7 at 12:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Argentina vs. Egypt - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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