Argentina vs. Switzerland - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup quarter-final between Argentina and Switzerland, scheduled for 9:00 PM ET on 11 July at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. This match pits the tournament favourite, Argentina, against a resilient Swiss side, with bookmakers heavily favouring the South Americans. The current 30% crowd-implied probability for "More Markets" reflects uncertainty about whether the game will extend beyond the standard 90 minutes, likely due to a draw or extra-time scenarios.

Historically, quarter-finals featuring a dominant team like Argentina against a compact defence often produce tight, low-scoring affairs. In the 2022 World Cup, similar matchups frequently ended in draws or narrow wins, pushing games into extra time. Dimers' analysis suggests a 24.7% chance of a draw, with the most likely scoreline being a 0-1 Argentina win, which would settle the "More Markets" bet as a loss if the game ends within regulation. However, the 16.9% probability of a Swiss victory indicates a significant risk of extra time, aligning with the 30% market price.

Traders should monitor pre-match announcements regarding team fitness and tactical setups, as injuries to key players could shift the probability of a draw. Recent news from OneFootball highlights that both teams are in strong form, but defensive vulnerabilities could lead to a high-scoring draw. Additionally, the settlement window ending on 13 July means any late developments, such as weather delays or referee decisions, could impact the outcome. The market's depth is driven by funding flows from depositors using Klarna and SEPA rails, with USDC withdrawals adding liquidity to the book.

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Methodology

This page compares Argentina vs. Switzerland - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.