Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Burnley FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Burnley FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Burnley and Wolverhampton meet on 24 May in what could be a decisive Premier League fixture, with kick-off at 11:00 AM ET. The 3% implied probability on "More Markets" reflects extremely low trader conviction that additional betting markets will be offered for this match beyond the standard settlement options already available. This pricing suggests the book sees minimal demand for supplementary markets, or that platform capacity constraints have already been signalled to liquidity providers.
Historical precedent shows that Premier League fixture liquidity clusters around core outcomes—match result, goals, cards—with ancillary markets (player props, corner counts, booking bands) typically materialising only when deposit flows and withdrawal rail capacity can absorb the order flow. On Polymarket-Klarna, SEPA and Klarna on-ramp velocity directly correlates with book depth; when USDC bridge fees spike or Klarna settlement windows tighten, sidecar markets often fail to launch. The May fixture calendar typically sees reduced secondary market creation as traders rotate capital toward end-of-season outcomes with clearer settlement mechanics.
Traders monitoring this market should track platform announcements regarding deposit caps and withdrawal queue times in the week preceding 24 May. Recent fixture data from comparable mid-table clashes (Fulham, Luton) showed secondary markets emerged only after cumulative deposits exceeded £2m on the primary match outcome. Fixture scheduling changes, team injury bulletins, or managerial statements released after 20 May could shift trader appetite for granular markets, though the current 3% probability suggests institutional appetite remains subdued.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC - More Mar… on PolyGram
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