Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Tundra Esports and BetBoom Team met in a DreamLeague Season 29 Group B best-of-three on 16 May, and the market has already been fully settled by the result. The live score feeds show a completed series rather than an unfinished or cancelled fixture, which matters because the 50-50 fallback only applies if the match is not played, ends tied, or is left unresolved past the settlement window. In practical terms, the only way this market should have traded near parity would have been through severe uncertainty around whether the series would start or finish, not normal pre-match competitive pricing.
Historically, these Dota 2 match markets tend to be shallow until the payment rails are frictionless enough for smaller deposits to clear quickly. When Klarna, SEPA, cards, or USDC on-ramps are available and withdrawals are straightforward, order books usually deepen because casual and regional traders can fund accounts without waiting on bank delays or high fees. By contrast, higher friction tends to leave markets thin and prone to overreacting to roster-news or veto-signal headlines, so a 100% crowd view is more a sign of liquidity imbalance than genuine certainty about the underlying series.
For traders, the main catalysts are pre-match roster confirmations, any last-minute schedule changes in DreamLeague Group B, and whether the series starts on time in the listed window. Recent live-score and match pages from GosuGamers, Flashscore, Sofascore and Strafe confirmed the fixture as played, while Polymarket’s match page framed it as a group-stage BO3 with only standard competitive dependencies such as draft quality and roster stability. If a delayed start, technical pause, or admin ruling had threatened completion, that would have mattered more for settlement than the pre-match crowd probability.
Methodology
We track Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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