Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
REKONIX are due to play Tundra Esports in a best-of-three DreamLeague Season 29 Group B match. The market is showing 0% YES despite Tundra being the clear pre-match favourite across the listed sources, with bookmaker pricing as short as 1.05 on one preview and favouritism still apparent elsewhere. In comparable top-tier Dota 2 group-stage matches, very low implied probabilities usually reflect a mix of outright mismatch and thin order books rather than a true absence of outcome risk, particularly when liquidity is constrained by how quickly funds can be moved in and out of the venue.
For traders, the practical issue is whether fresh money can reach the market before the 19:30 UTC settlement window closes. In prediction markets, depth often improves when deposit rails are simple and fast; SEPA transfers can be useful for Euro users but may not clear instantly, while card or Klarna-style on-ramp friction can slow participation, and USDC rails can add speed for those already holding stablecoins. Any late schedule change, stream delay, or official bracket update from ESL/NAVI’s DreamLeague pages would matter more than the pre-match odds, because a match not started, abandoned, or pushed beyond seven days would change resolution entirely.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeagu… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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