Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.4M
- 24h volume
- $1.4M
- Liquidity
- $587K
- Open interest
- $45K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (80)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
PARIVISION face Tundra Esports in a DreamLeague Group B best-of-three match scheduled for 13 May at 9:30AM ET. The fixture is a standard competitive Dota 2 group stage encounter, with settlement contingent on match completion by 20:00 UTC on the same date. The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally high confidence in match occurrence or minimal liquidity depth in the order book, a common pattern in regional qualifier and group-stage markets where deposit friction limits retail participation across most on-ramps.
Historical precedent suggests group-stage Dota 2 matches at established tournaments like DreamLeague rarely cancel outright, though delays beyond the seven-day threshold do occur when technical issues or scheduling conflicts arise. Comparable fixtures in prior DreamLeague seasons have settled within the scheduled window in roughly 95% of cases, with forfeit or tie outcomes representing fewer than 2% of resolutions. The current 100% reading likely reflects the market's thin order book rather than certainty; traders requiring SEPA or Klarna settlement often face multi-day processing windows that discourage active positioning in short-dated events.
Watch for official DreamLeague announcements regarding venue changes, roster substitutions, or broadcast delays, typically posted 24–48 hours before match time on the tournament's social channels. Any rescheduling beyond 7 May would trigger the tie-resolution clause. Tundra's recent form and PARIVISION's roster stability remain secondary to fixture logistics; the primary catalyst is administrative confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled.
Methodology
This page compares Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by PolyGram — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). PolyGram retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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