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Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $780K Closes: 16 May 2026
Trade on PolyGram →

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Market context

Aurora and Vici Gaming are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three Dota 2 match in DreamLeague Group A, with the market window closing after the game was due to start. The live state of the market at 0% YES suggests either no visible liquidity or no priced confidence, which is more often a function of access and funding friction than of the sporting matchup itself. In esports markets, depth tends to appear only when traders can move money quickly; deposits via card or Klarna usually attract smaller, faster entries, while SEPA and USDC rails are more common for larger balances, especially where on- and off-ramp fees are lower.

Comparable DreamLeague group-stage fixtures have often traded thin until line-ups are confirmed and the lobby goes live, then reprice sharply if one side is late, uses a stand-in, or has a schedule clash. Public listings from Sofascore and GosuGamers put this match for 16 May at 13:30 UTC, and DLTV records the series as a 1-2 result for Aurora, which would mean any pre-match 0% reading was not an informed consensus but a market that failed to attract capital before settlement. In practice, that kind of book usually widens only when merchants and wallets process cleanly enough for arbitrage and copy trading to hit the market.

The main catalysts are straightforward: official start confirmation from ESL/DreamLeague channels, any delay to the group schedule, and roster news close to lobby time. If a match page goes live late or there is a broadcast mismatch, traders will usually wait for verification before funding in, which matters because withdrawal rails and fees shape whether participants recycle winnings into the same event or sit out. Any late cancellation, forfeit, or technical delay would also matter directly for resolution, as the market rules allow a 50-50 outcome if the match is not completed under the stated conditions.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

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