Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 56% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 53% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-9.5) vs Luminosity (+9.5) | 50% |
| Match Winner | 46% |
| Map 1 Winner | 39% |
| Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5) | 28% |
| Map Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) | 23% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 56% probability to counter-strike: luminosity vs nip (bo3) - xse pro league group stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Luminosity and NIP in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luminosi…
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro Le… on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →