Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.5M
- 24h volume
- $1.5M
- Open interest
- $527K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (12)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
FaZe and Vitality meet in the lower bracket semifinal of IEM Atlanta's Group A stage on 13 May, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The match is a best-of-three format, scheduled for 11:30 AM ET. Both teams are among Counter-Strike's established rosters, though recent form and roster stability vary considerably. The 0% implied probability suggests either extreme illiquidity in the order book or a technical settlement issue, as both teams have realistic paths to victory given their competitive standing in 2026.
Historical precedent from major CS tournaments shows lower bracket semifinals typically attract modest trading volume relative to finals or upper bracket matches. Comparable IEM events have seen probability distributions shift materially only when roster changes or injury announcements surface within 48 hours of match time. Traders should monitor official ESL Pro League communications and team social media for last-minute lineup confirmations, as stand-in players or unexpected withdrawals have occasionally triggered resolution edge cases in prior tournaments.
The settlement window closes at 21:30 UTC on match day, allowing roughly ten hours post-match for result confirmation. Liquidity constraints on esports markets often correlate with deposit friction on the underlying platform—traders relying on slower rails (bank transfers, Klarna instalments) may face settlement delays if they attempt to exit positions after result announcement. SEPA transfers and USDC on-ramps typically clear faster, reducing counterparty risk during the post-match settlement window.
Wikipedia Context
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Counter-Strike (video game)Counter-Strike is a 2000 tactical first-person shooter game developed by Valve Corporation and published by Sierra Studios. It is the first installment in the Counter-Strike series.
-
Counter-Strike: Malvinas
Counter-Strike: Malvinas is an unofficial multiplayer video game map for Counter-Strike: Source, developed and distributed by Argentinian web hosting company Dattatec. The map was released on March 4, 2013 and was created using the Source game engine. The map is set in Stanley, the capital of the Falkland Islands, and revolves around a group of Argentine spe
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta… on PolyGram
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