Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-6.5) vs Donstu Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-3.5) vs Donstu Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-9.5) vs Donstu Esports (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-9.5) vs Fortress (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-12.5) vs Donstu Esports (+12.5) | 1% |
| Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FOR (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-9.5) vs Fortress (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: donstu esports vs fortress (bo3) - european pro league series 8 closed qualifier group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Donstu Esports and Fortress in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C, initially scheduled for…
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - E… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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