Market statistics
- Total volume
- $835K
- 24h volume
- $835K
- Open interest
- $600K
Available prediction outcomes (3)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Round 2 of the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 pits BetBoom Team against Liquid in a best-of-one match scheduled for 2 June at 3:00PM ET. The fixture sits in a tournament structure where seeding and bracket placement determine advancement; a single map decides the outcome, eliminating the variance buffer of longer series. BetBoom Team enters as a CIS-region squad with recent LAN placements, whilst Liquid represents the established North American organisation with deeper tournament infrastructure and sponsorship backing.
The 100% implied probability reflects either extreme confidence in one outcome or sparse liquidity depth at this market's current stage. Historical precedent from major CS tournaments shows that pre-match probabilities this extreme often compress as settlement approaches and traders deposit capital across payment rails—SEPA transfers, USDC on-chain settlement, and Klarna instalment options typically see activation 24–48 hours before match time. Shallow order books at extreme odds frequently tighten once funding friction clears; the settlement window closing 2026-06-03T01:30:00Z allows roughly 22 hours post-match for result confirmation and withdrawal processing.
Traders should monitor ESL's official match schedule for any postponements beyond the 7-day tie-resolution threshold, team roster confirmations, and tactical bans released closer to match time. Recent CS fixture delays have stemmed from visa processing and equipment logistics rather than cancellations outright. Deposit velocity and book depth will signal whether the current probability reflects genuine consensus or merely thin initial liquidity awaiting the funding window.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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