ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Scotland and Ireland will meet in the ICC Women's T20 World Cup on 13 June 2026. Both sides compete in the associate tier of international women's cricket, though Ireland holds ODI status whilst Scotland does not. The match outcome will determine progression in a tournament where group-stage results carry substantial weight for qualification to knockout rounds. Settlement occurs five days after the scheduled fixture, allowing time for official result publication on ESPNcricinfo and any administrative review.

The 100% implied probability reflects the structural certainty that one team must win or the match must conclude via a defined tiebreak mechanism under ICC playing conditions. Historical precedent from the 2024 Women's T20 World Cup shows that associate-level fixtures rarely produce walkovers or forfeits; both Scotland and Ireland have maintained consistent participation records across recent tournaments. Weather disruption in June at the scheduled venue remains a material risk, though the settlement criteria explicitly treat DLS-adjusted outcomes and Super Over results as ordinary wins, eliminating ambiguity around rain-affected play.

Traders monitoring this market should track squad announcements in April 2026 and any injury updates to key players in the weeks preceding the fixture. Recent form in bilateral series and warm-up matches will influence betting patterns closer to the match date. Funding flows into this market depend on deposit accessibility via Klarna, SEPA transfers, and USDC on-ramps; liquidity depth typically increases as the match approaches and as regional interest in women's cricket expands across UK and Irish betting communities.

Methodology

We track ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.