Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Birmingham Phoenix | 100% |
| The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Birmingham Phoenix - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Birmingham Phoenix - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
London Spirit Women versus Birmingham Phoenix Women is a scheduled The Hundred fixture at Lord’s, and the live market is already fully priced to a London Spirit win. That is consistent with the recent head-to-head record: Spirit beat Phoenix by 32 runs in 2026 at Lord’s, by 88 runs in 2025, and by 20 runs in 2024, while Phoenix’s stronger isolated result came against Welsh Fire rather than this opponent.[1][2][4][5][7][15]
For probability reading, the key comparable is that Spirit have repeatedly controlled this matchup even in seasons when both sides have been broadly mid-table or below par, suggesting the market is reflecting opponent-specific strength rather than general tournament form alone.[2][4][9] The 2026 season also features multiple low-scoring or bowler-dominant games, including Phoenix being bowled out for 64 earlier in the competition, which is a reminder that short-format volatility can still create settlement risk if a match is interrupted or unusually one-sided.[14][16]
For traders, the practical catalysts are the usual on-field dependencies: toss, weather, and whether the match reaches a full result without a no-result or abandonment. Crickbuzz listed Phoenix winning the toss and choosing to bowl for the 9 August 2026 game, which matters because early wickets can shorten a one-sided chase and make payment/settlement arrive faster in market terms.[3] On-ramp frictions are more about funding than cricket: a market at 100% YES can still see shallow book movement if deposits via Klarna or SEPA are slower to land, or if users prefer instant USDC rails for same-day entry and withdrawal flexibility.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $174K.
Methodology
This page compares The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Birmingham Phoenix with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Birmingham Phoenix on Polymarket Klarna UK
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