Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Liaoning Tieren FC meet Qingdao Hainiu FC in the Chinese Super League, with this market asking whether the “More Markets” contract resolves yes. The current crowd price is 0% yes, which points to an almost empty book rather than a settled view on the football itself. For a thinly traded event like this, depth often follows the money path: deposits clearing quickly through familiar rails, lower card and bank friction, and easier withdrawal expectations tend to bring in more participants than the match-up alone would suggest.
The historical frame is limited but one-sided enough to matter. Available head-to-head data show Qingdao Hainiu have had the better of Liaoning in recent meetings, with FotMob noting three straight wins for Qingdao and worldfootball listing two Qingdao wins and no Liaoning wins across three matches, while other comparison pages show Liaoning’s broader record against Qingdao-linked sides as modest rather than dominant. That kind of background usually supports some market activity in side and totals contracts, but it does not guarantee interest in the “More Markets” wrapper unless traders expect the venue to post extra lines before kick-off.
The main catalysts are operational rather than sporting: whether the exchange adds further sub-markets close to the 11:00 UTC settlement window, and whether funding routes are smooth enough to let new money arrive in time. Recent coverage from payment providers and market infrastructure firms has continued to emphasise faster settlement and multi-rail access, but the practical question here is simpler — if Klarna, SEPA or USDC on-ramping is slow, book depth stays thin; if those rails are available and withdrawals are straightforward, participation can rise quickly ahead of line release and team news.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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