Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Shandong Taishan FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Henan FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Shandong Taishan FC face Henan FC in the Chinese Super League, and this “more markets” contract is about whether the match attracts extra listed sub-markets rather than the result itself. A **0% YES** price usually means the book sees no credible pathway to a qualifying listing outcome by the settlement time, which is typical for narrow, operationally defined markets once the schedule and market set are already fixed.
Comparable event markets in football tend to move only when a late operator update changes what is actually eligible to be offered, not when the teams or kick-off time change. For a clash like this, the relevant frame is liquidity and access: if deposits clear quickly through **Klarna**, **SEPA**, or **USDC**, more traders can enter before settlement, but if funding rails are slow or blocked, depth stays thin and the market can remain pinned near zero.
The main catalysts are platform-side, not on-pitch: a late addition of further props, a rescheduling notice, or a venue and start-time adjustment would be the clearest reasons for the contract to reprice. Traders will also watch whether any related Chinese Super League listings appear on the same slate, because those launches often signal that the operator has already finalised its market inventory and funding pipelines for the fixture.
Methodology
This page compares Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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