Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Shanghai Shenhua FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Shanghai Shenhua meet Wuhan Three Towns in the Chinese Super League, with Shanghai the stronger side on paper and the market currently sitting at 0% YES. Recent head-to-head results lean Shanghai’s way: they have won four of the last eight meetings, with Wuhan taking two and two ending level, and the most recent league meeting in April 2025 finished 2-0 to Shanghai. Form and table position also point in the same direction. Shanghai have been reported among the top sides in the division this season, while Wuhan have been lower down the standings, which helps explain why one-sided books can sometimes sit at very short prices even before kick-off.
For traders, the main things to watch are squad news, any late changes to the match schedule, and whether the exchange book gets fresh liquidity close to the 11:35 UTC start. The fixture is listed for Shanghai Stadium on 20 May, and preview pages from 365Scores and Flashscore confirm the scheduled time. In payment terms, book depth on small-traction football markets often depends less on the match itself than on how quickly users can fund accounts: instant options such as Klarna can bring in retail deposits, SEPA can add slower but larger transfers, and USDC rails can support faster top-ups and withdrawals. When those on-ramps are frictionless, the order book tends to thicken nearer to event time; when they are not, a 0% line can stay thin and sticky until late money arrives.
Methodology
We track Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →