Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 89% |
| O/U 28.5 | 76% |
| O/U 30.5 | 75% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| O/U 34.5 | 74% |
| O/U 36.5 | 73% |
| O/U 40.5 | 68% |
| Air Force vs. Nevada | 64% |
| O/U 42.5 | 61% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 46.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Air Force vs. Nevada: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| O/U 44.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| O/U 54.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| O/U 48.5 | 34% |
| Spread -12.5 | 33% |
| Spread -11.5 | 33% |
| O/U 58.5 | 33% |
| Spread -13.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 62.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| O/U 60.5 | 31% |
| O/U 64.5 | 31% |
| O/U 66.5 | 31% |
| O/U 68.5 | 31% |
| Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| O/U 50.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| O/U 52.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -16.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| O/U 56.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of air force vs. nevada. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Air Force and Nevada, scheduled for September 26 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game. Thi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $271K.
Methodology
This page compares Air Force vs. Nevada with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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