Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones | 95% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 75% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 73% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 Winner | 71% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 60% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 Winner | 53% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 48% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: brandon nakashima vs jack pinnington jones. This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jack Pinnington Jones in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bran…
Methodology
This page compares Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington … on Polymarket Klarna UK
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