Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 3 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Match O/U 36.5 | 73% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner | 68% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Match O/U 38.5 | 53% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 4 Winner | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Match O/U 40.5 | 49% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 47% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 4% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: hamad medjedovic vs sebastian ofner. This market refers to the tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Sebastian Ofner in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medje…
Methodology
This page compares Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner on Polymarket Klarna UK
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