Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cary: jay dylan friend vs braden shick stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Dylan Friend and Braden Shick in the Cary, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay…
Methodology
This page compares Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick on Polymarket Klarna UK
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