Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas | 24% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of swedish open, qualification: thomas faurel vs miguel damas. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Faurel and Miguel Damas in the Swedish Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market …
Methodology
This page compares Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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