Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
25% | 75% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
25% | 75% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 25% |
| Iga Swiatek | 10% |
| Elena Rybakina | 9% |
| Coco Gauff | 8% |
| Mirra Andreeva | 6% |
| Naomi Osaka | 6% |
| Amanda Anisimova | 4% |
| Jessica Pegula | 4% |
| Linda Noskova | 4% |
| Karolina Muchova | 3% |
| Madison Keys | 2% |
| Elina Svitolina | 2% |
| Alexandra Eala | 2% |
| Qinwen Zheng | 1% |
| Barbora Krejcikova | 1% |
| Victoria Mboko | 1% |
| Emma Navarro | 1% |
| Belinda Bencic | 1% |
| Jasmine Paolini | 1% |
| Paula Badosa | 1% |
| Diana Shnaider | 1% |
| Marie Bouzkova | 1% |
| Elise Mertens | 1% |
| Marketa Vondrousova | 0% |
| Clara Tauson | 0% |
| Emma Raducanu | 0% |
| Maya Joint | 0% |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0% |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 0% |
| Daria Kasatkina | 0% |
| Tereza Valentova | 0% |
| Anastasia Potapova | 0% |
| Donna Vekic | 0% |
| Dayana Yastremska | 0% |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 0% |
| Xiyu Wang | 0% |
| Ashlyn Krueger | 0% |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | 0% |
| Sofia Kenin | 0% |
| Katie Boulter | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
| Player A | 0% |
| Player B | 0% |
| Player C | 0% |
| Player D | 0% |
| Player E | 0% |
| Player F | 0% |
| Player G | 0% |
| Player H | 0% |
| Player I | 0% |
| Player J | 0% |
| Player K | 0% |
| Player L | 0% |
| Player M | 0% |
| Player N | 0% |
| Player O | 0% |
| Player P | 0% |
| Player Q | 0% |
| Player R | 0% |
| Player S | 0% |
| Player T | 0% |
| Player U | 0% |
| Player V | 0% |
| Player W | 0% |
| Player X | 0% |
| Player Y | 0% |
| Player Z | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, 2026 women’s us open winner (tennis) stands at 25% likelihood according to current market consensus. The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournamen…
Methodology
This page compares 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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