Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
11% | 89% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
11% | 89% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 11% |
| Rory McIlroy | 10% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 6% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 5% |
| Jon Rahm | 4% |
| Xander Schauffele | 3% |
| Viktor Hovland | 3% |
| Robert MacIntyre | 3% |
| Collin Morikawa | 2% |
| Chris Gotterup | 2% |
| Justin Rose | 2% |
| Wyndham Clark | 2% |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 2% |
| Cameron Young | 2% |
| Si Woo Kim | 2% |
| Sam Burns | 2% |
| Russell Henley | 2% |
| Min Woo Lee | 2% |
| Joaquin Niemann | 1% |
| Tom Kim | 1% |
| Patrick Reed | 1% |
| Shane Lowry | 1% |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 1% |
| Brooks Koepka | 1% |
| Justin Thomas | 1% |
| Aaron Rai | 1% |
| J.J. Spaun | 1% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 1% |
| Jordan Spieth | 1% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 1% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 1% |
| Harris English | 1% |
| Kurt Kitayama | 1% |
| Ben Griffin | 1% |
| Maverick McNealy | 1% |
| Akshay Bhatia | 1% |
| Rickie Fowler | 1% |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 1% |
| Alexander Noren | 1% |
| Hao-Tong Li | 1% |
| Adam Scott | 0% |
| Cameron Smith | 0% |
| Corey Conners | 0% |
| Brian Harman | 0% |
| Victor Perez | 0% |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 0% |
| Jordan L. Smith | 0% |
| David Puig | 0% |
| Max Homa | 0% |
| Ryan Gerard | 0% |
| Angel Ayora | 0% |
| Johnny Keefer | 0% |
| Jason Day | 0% |
| Sepp Straka | 0% |
| Ryan Fox | 0% |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 0% |
| Keegan Bradley | 0% |
| Matt Wallace | 0% |
| Tom McKibbin | 0% |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 0% |
| Jake Knapp | 0% |
| Eric Cole | 0% |
| JT Poston | 0% |
| Marco Penge | 0% |
| Bud Cauley | 0% |
| Gary Woodland | 0% |
| Keita Nakajima | 0% |
| Keith Mitchell | 0% |
| Sahith Theegala | 0% |
| Thomas Detry | 0% |
| Alex Smalley | 0% |
| Harry Hall | 0% |
| Daniel Berger | 0% |
| Max Greyserman | 0% |
| Jayden Schaper | 0% |
| Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 0% |
| Michael Kim | 0% |
| Lucas Herbert | 0% |
| Matt McCarty | 0% |
| Nick Taylor | 0% |
| Hendrik Du Plessis | 0% |
| Sung-Jae Im | 0% |
| Andrew Novak | 0% |
| Casey Jarvis | 0% |
| Pierceson Coody | 0% |
| Billy Horschel | 0% |
| Daniel Hillier | 0% |
| Michael Brennan | 0% |
| Jackson Suber | 0% |
| Jesper Svensson | 0% |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 0% |
| Laurie Canter | 0% |
| Francesco Molinari | 0% |
| Scott Vincent | 0% |
| Sami Valimaki | 0% |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 0% |
| Matthew Jordan | 0% |
| John Parry | 0% |
| Sam Stevens | 0% |
| Daniel Brown | 0% |
| Player 0 | 0% |
| Player 1 | 0% |
| Player 2 | 0% |
| Player 3 | 0% |
| Player 4 | 0% |
| Player 5 | 0% |
| Player 6 | 0% |
| Player 7 | 0% |
| Player 8 | 0% |
| Player 9 | 0% |
| Player 10 | 0% |
| Player 11 | 0% |
| Player 12 | 0% |
| Player 13 | 0% |
| Player 14 | 0% |
| Player 15 | 0% |
| Player 16 | 0% |
| Player 17 | 0% |
| Player 18 | 0% |
| Player 19 | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 11% chance of pga tour: the open championship winner. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 The Open Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the The Open Champ…
Methodology
This page compares PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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