World Cup: Player to score

Platform comparison

Market context

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is underway in North America, with the tournament concluding on 20 July 2026. This specific market tracks whether a named player scores at least one goal during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, excluding own goals and penalty shootouts. The current crowd-implied probability sits at 0% for a “Yes” outcome, suggesting the listed player is either not selected for their national squad, has withdrawn, or is deemed unlikely to feature in any match where scoring is possible.

Historically, markets showing 0% probability for a World Cup scorer typically resolve to “No” when the player is absent from the final squad or injured before the tournament begins. Comparable cases from 2022 saw similar zero-probability listings for players like Eden Hazard, who retired from international football before the event, leading to definitive “No” resolutions. In such instances, liquidity remains thin because the outcome is effectively predetermined by squad lists, and funding flows rarely shift until official confirmation of non-participation is published.

Traders should monitor official squad announcements from national federations and injury updates from club sources, as these are the primary catalysts that could alter the probability. Recent coverage from Fox Sports highlights Mbappé and Kane as Golden Boot favourites, reinforcing that scoring markets hinge on active participation and fitness [1]. If the listed player is confirmed in the squad or returns from injury, the 0% probability could shift rapidly, drawing in capital from payment rails like Klarna and SEPA that fuel book depth on active markets.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares World Cup: Player to score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.