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Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Which platform accepts which deposit method for "Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?"? Klarna, SOFORT, card, USDC compared.

Angela Rayner 100% Wes Streeting 100% Yvette Cooper 100% Shabana Mahmood 100% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $177K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Angela Rayner100%
Wes Streeting100%
Yvette Cooper100%
Shabana Mahmood100%
Pat McFadden100%
Bridget Phillipson100%
Ed Miliband100%
Lisa Nandy100%
Heidi Alexander100%
Jonathan Reynolds100%
Alan Campbell100%
John Healey100%
Louise Haigh100%
Liz Kendall24%
Catherine West6%
Jacqui Smith3%
Jess Phillips3%
David Lammy2%
James Murray2%
Keir Starmer1%
Rachel Reeves1%
Darren Jones1%
Steve Reed1%
Dan Jarvis1%
Peter Kyle1%
Hilary Benn1%
Ian Murray1%
Jo Stevens1%
Patrick Vallance1%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of who will be in the burnham cabinet?. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime …

Methodology

This page compares Who will be in the Burnham cabinet? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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Trade Who will be in the Burnham cabinet? on Polymarket Klarna UK

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