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What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?

Which platform accepts which deposit method for "What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?"? Klarna, SOFORT, card, USDC compared.

Transgender 100% Hottest 100% China 80% Interfere / Interference 78% Volume: $196K Liquidity: $29K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Transgender100%
Hottest100%
China80%
Interfere / Interference78%
Venezuela64%
Communist60%
Fraud / Fraudulent57%
AI / Artificial Intelligence51%
Maduro50%
Middle East43%
Crooked40%
Fake News39%
Russia38%
Annihilated / Annihilating24%
Biden 5+ times23%
Make America Great Again22%
Israel / Israeli22%
World Cup17%
Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times12%
Ukraine12%
Iraq11%
Fentanyl9%
Six Seven8%
Iran / Iranian 20+ times5%
Nuclear 15+ times3%
-No Qualifying Event-0%

Market context

The What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation? prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve to "Yes" …

Methodology

This page compares What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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Trade What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation? on Polymarket Klarna UK

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Related Topics

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