Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin have already met in Anchorage, Alaska, on 15 August 2025, a summit that concluded without any agreements and left the Ukraine conflict unresolved [4]. This historical precedent frames the current 0% crowd-implied probability for a future meeting: past encounters have been high-stakes but fruitless, and no subsequent in-person interaction has materialised since the Anchorage deal collapsed. Traders should view the zero probability not as a prediction of impossibility, but as a reflection of the entrenched friction that has prevented any follow-up summit despite repeated diplomatic overtures [1].

The primary catalysts to monitor are official announcements regarding the G7 Summit schedule and any potential phone-call follow-ups that might evolve into in-person meetings. Trump recently held phone calls with Putin and Zelenskyy on his 80th birthday, noting they would discuss matters further at the G7, yet no concrete in-person meeting has been confirmed for that event [7]. With the settlement window ending in June 2026, the market’s traction depends entirely on whether funding flows can overcome the on-ramp friction of depositing via Klarna or withdrawing through SEPA rails to support book depth for a potential Alaska or Hungary rematch [2]. Without a confirmed venue or date, the probability remains anchored at zero, mirroring the stagnation seen after the 2025 Hungary summit proposal failed to materialise [5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Where will Trump and Putin meet next? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Klarna UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.