# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's next YouTube upload will accumulate a measurable view count within its first 24 hours. The market brackets track whether that initial day traction reaches specific thresholds, with settlement contingent on YouTube's public view counter and a full calendar day elapsing post-publication. If no video materialises by end of June 2026, the lowest bracket resolves.

Historical performance data shows MrBeast's recent uploads consistently exceed 50 million views within 24 hours, with several breaching 100 million. His December 2024 video "I Gave Away $1,000,000" accumulated approximately 80 million views in the opening day, whilst earlier high-profile releases like "$456,000 Squid Game" reached similar magnitudes. The 25% implied probability for the highest bracket suggests the crowd expects substantial but not record-breaking performance—a reasonable calibration given his established baseline and the inherent variance in viral momentum across upload cycles.

Upload timing remains the primary catalyst. MrBeast typically publishes on Thursdays or Fridays, maximising weekend engagement, though his schedule has shifted unpredictably. Announcement patterns via his social channels (X, Instagram) often precede drops by hours or days. Market liquidity on Klarna-integrated platforms depends on deposit friction; traders using SEPA transfers or Klarna's staggered payment rails may face settlement delays if withdrawal processing extends beyond the 24-hour resolution window. USD Coin settlement offers faster rails for international participants, though conversion spreads can compress margins on tight bracket predictions.

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Klarna UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Klarna UK?

Zero. Polymarket Klarna UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.