Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| A | 50% |
| B | 50% |
| C | 50% |
| D | 50% |
| E | 50% |
| F | 50% |
| G | 50% |
| H | 50% |
| I | 50% |
| J | 50% |
| Other | 50% |
| Tommy Paul | 36% |
| Ben Shelton | 13% |
| Tallon Griekspoor | 8% |
| Frances Tiafoe | 7% |
| Brandon Nakashima | 7% |
| Jakub Mensik | 6% |
| Arthur Fils | 5% |
| Nuno Borges | 5% |
| Casper Ruud | 4% |
| Mariano Navone | 4% |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 4% |
| Cameron Norrie | 4% |
| Alex Michelsen | 4% |
| Alexei Popyrin | 4% |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 3% |
| Luciano Darderi | 2% |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 2% |
| Jannik Sinner | 0% |
| Alexander Zverev | 0% |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0% |
| Andrey Rublev | 0% |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 0% |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0% |
| Taylor Fritz | 0% |
| Ugo Humbert | 0% |
| Holger Rune | 0% |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0% |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0% |
| Karen Khachanov | 0% |
| Sebastian Korda | 0% |
| Nicolas Jarry | 0% |
| Alexander Bublik | 0% |
| Jack Draper | 0% |
| Gael Monfils | 0% |
| Adrian Mannarino | 0% |
| Jordan Thompson | 0% |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 0% |
| Marcos Giron | 0% |
| Tomas Machac | 0% |
| Pedro Martinez | 0% |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0% |
| Fabian Marozsan | 0% |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0% |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 0% |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 0% |
| Roman Safiullin | 0% |
| Denis Shapovalov | 0% |
| Gabriel Diallo | 0% |
| Milos Raonic | 0% |
| Kei Nishikori | 0% |
| Vasek Pospisil | 0% |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 0% |
| Dusan Lajovic | 0% |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0% |
| Corentin Moutet | 0% |
| Jaume Munar | 0% |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | 0% |
| Dominik Koepfer | 0% |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0% |
| Max Purcell | 0% |
| Aleksandar Vukic | 0% |
| Marton Fucsovics | 0% |
| Hugo Gaston | 0% |
| Federico Coria | 0% |
| Sumit Nagal | 0% |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0% |
| Rinky Hijikata | 0% |
| Christopher O'Connell | 0% |
| Daniel Altmaier | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 50% YES probability for ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner. This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 National Bank Open (ATP Masters 1000, Montreal), currently scheduled for August 2 – August 13, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after…
Methodology
This page compares ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner on Polymarket Klarna UK
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