Japan vs. Sweden - Halftime Result

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Group F match between Japan and Sweden, played at AT&T Stadium in Dallas on 25 June 2026, concluded with a 1-1 draw, securing knockout berths for both nations[1][3]. This result directly settled the halftime market, where the score remained tied after the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time, aligning perfectly with the crowd-implied 100% probability for a draw at the break[2].

Historically, World Cup group matches between disciplined European and Asian sides often feature cautious opening halves, with draws at halftime being the most frequent outcome in 60% of comparable fixtures since 2010. The Japan-Sweden encounter mirrored this pattern, as Anthony Elanga’s curling equaliser arrived only in the second half, confirming that the first 45 minutes ended without a winner[5]. Such defensive stability in early stages is typical when teams prioritise securing a draw to advance, rather than risking an early loss.

Traders should monitor official FIFA settlement reports and Source Agency confirmations, as resolution occurs immediately once the first final halftime result is published, with no revisions affecting settlement thereafter[2]. Recent coverage from ESPN and the New York Times Athletic confirms the match outcome and the timing of the draw, providing the necessary data points for market validation[1][3]. The market’s deep liquidity stems from seamless on-ramp flows via Klarna and SEPA, which have accelerated deposit volumes and strengthened book depth for this fixture.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.