Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cody Gakpo: 1+ shots on target | 100% |
| Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 1+ assists | 100% |
| Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Cody Gakpo: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 1+ shots | 1% |
| Guus Til: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Guus Til: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Guus Til: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Guus Til: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Guus Til: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Guus Til: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Guus Til: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Guus Til: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Guus Til: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Guus Til: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Guus Til: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Guus Til: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Guus Til: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Guus Til: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Guus Til: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Guus Til: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Guus Til: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Noa Lang: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Wout Weghorst: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Mark Flekken: 2+ saves | 0% |
| Mark Flekken: 3+ saves | 0% |
| Mark Flekken: 4+ saves | 0% |
| Mark Flekken: 5+ saves | 0% |
| Munir El Kajoui: 2+ saves | 0% |
| Munir El Kajoui: 3+ saves | 0% |
| Munir El Kajoui: 4+ saves | 0% |
| Munir El Kajoui: 5+ saves | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Brian Brobbey: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Cody Gakpo: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Memphis Depay: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Crysencio Summerville: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Donyell Malen: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
Market context
On 29 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, the Netherlands and Morocco will face off in the Round of 32 at the FIFA World Cup in Guadalupe, Mexico. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with most projections favouring a 1-1 draw and Netherlands advancing via extra time [1][2]. Despite the current crowd-implied probability of 0% for any player prop outcome, the underlying event remains a high-stakes knockout with significant betting depth driven by global on-ramp flows.
Historically, similar World Cup knockout games between evenly matched sides have produced volatile player prop markets, especially when extra time is involved. In past editions, draws in regulation often led to sharp moves in goalscorer and corner markets once the clock extended, as seen in the 2014 and 2018 tournaments where extra-time goals triggered rapid liquidity shifts [5]. The 0% probability today likely reflects early settlement fears rather than a lack of market interest, as funding rails like SEPA and USDC continue to feed book depth.
Traders should monitor real-time odds updates from FanDuel and DraftKings, particularly for over/under 2.5 goals and player-specific shots on target, as Jon Eimer of SportsLine is leaning Over 2.5 goals (+120) [3]. Any late announcement on squad fitness or tactical shifts—especially regarding Kai Havertz’s involvement—could catalyse immediate prop traction [5]. With settlement ending 30 June 2026, the window for depositing via Klarna or SEPA remains open, and withdrawal rails will determine how quickly liquidity can be extracted post-settlement.
Methodology
This page compares Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props on Polymarket Klarna UK
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