Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 98% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 91% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 75% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 56% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-9.5) vs Sentinels (+9.5) | 55% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-10.5) vs Sentinels (+10.5) | 45% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 45% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 26% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5) | 9% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 9% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Team Envy and Sentinels are meeting in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Ins, with the bracket running from 13 to 23 August and the tie scheduled as a best-of-three in the upper bracket.[1][3] Public match trackers show the game live or recently played around 15–16 August, and one listing has Sentinels leading 2–1 in the series, which matters because this market resolves only on the match result unless the fixture is postponed beyond the settlement window.[2][6]
A 100% crowd-implied YES price usually reflects a position where the listed outcome is treated as effectively certain, but in a two-team match that can also indicate the market has already incorporated the completed result or near-final live information.[2][5][9] Comparable VCT Play-In games have tended to move sharply once the bracket and start time are confirmed, especially when the teams are already deep into a double-elimination path and the winner advances towards the few playoff spots available.[1][3][12]
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: whether Riot and tournament trackers keep the fixture on schedule, whether any delay pushes it inside the 14-day settlement rule, and whether the series result is officially posted before the window closes on 16 August.[5][9][10] Depth in these esports markets is often driven by fast deposits and low-friction rails, so changes in funding availability can matter; in practice, cards, SEPA transfers, and crypto rails such as USDC tend to support quicker re-entry than slower bank withdrawals, which can affect how quickly the book rebuilds after a live match update.
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT America… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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