Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-8.5) vs FURIA Esports (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-9.5) vs FURIA Esports (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
The scheduled Valorant series is ENVY against FURIA Esports in VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, a best-of-three listed for 1 August at 9:00 PM UTC, with the same fixture also appearing on official and tracking sites as a Group Alpha round-robin match at Riot Games Arena in Los Angeles.[12][17][11] For a market showing **0% YES**, the immediate read is not that the contest is impossible, but that the book is currently thin: when on-ramp friction is high, small pools of deposits through rails such as Klarna, SEPA, or USDC can leave prices sticky until larger funding flows arrive.
Comparable results from the same stage point to a volatile group rather than a settled hierarchy. VCT Americas Stage 2 runs from 16 July to 9 August, with each group match played as a Bo3 and the top two teams advancing, so every result matters for standings and tiebreakers.[12] Coverage of earlier Alpha matches noted both ENVY and FURIA being in trouble after losses, including Leviatán sweeping ENVY 2-0, while current standings still show both teams at 0W-0L before this fixture.[7][11] That mix of poor recent form and incomplete group context helps explain why a market can stay at an extreme price when fresh capital has not yet leaned in.[7][11]
Traders should watch for schedule confirmation, stream timing, and any delay notice from Riot or tournament trackers, because a postponed or unplayed match can alter settlement under the market rules.[12][17] The cleanest catalyst is simple: once lineups, start time, and venue status are fully locked, more deposits tend to arrive and depth usually improves, especially if payment rails with lower friction encourage quick re-entry after large swings. Recent tracker pages still list the match as upcoming and the group as live, which suggests no public cancellation signal at the time of writing.[1][6][11]
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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