Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-8.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-7.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-9.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-11.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+11.5) | 100% |
| Match Winner | 56% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+5.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 13% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-8.5) vs FURIA Esports (+8.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-9.5) vs FURIA Esports (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Leviatán Esports face FURIA Esports in a best-of-three VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha match scheduled for 5:00PM ET on 16 July, with the crowd assigning a 96% probability to a Leviatán victory. The match has already concluded on the public record with a 2–0 scoreline favouring Leviatán, confirming the outcome that the market reflects [1].
Historically, matches where one side holds a dominant regional record and a clear 2–0 lead in live play see crowd probabilities converge above 95% within hours of the first map win, mirroring this market’s trajectory. Comparable VCT Americas fixtures in 2025 showed similar patterns: when a top-tier team like Leviatán secured an early map advantage against a lower-ranked opponent, implied probabilities stabilised near 96–98% before the final map, with minimal volatility once the score reached 2–0 [2].
Traders should monitor official VCT Americas announcements for any post-match settlement clarifications, though the 2–0 result removes most uncertainty. The settlement window closes on 17 July at 03:00 UTC, and with the match already completed, the primary dependency is the platform’s confirmation of the result against its internal data feed. No further schedule changes or cancellations are expected, as the event has passed its live window [2].
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - … on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →