Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Gentle Mates and Nongshim RedForce are set to clash in a Best-of-3 Winners match for Group C at the Esports World Cup 2026, scheduled to begin at 1:45 PM ET on 5 July. The market currently assigns a 0% probability to Gentle Mates winning, reflecting a stark confidence in the Korean side’s dominance.
Historical precedent strongly supports this low probability. In their most recent encounter at VCT 2026 Masters Santiago, Nongshim RedForce secured a decisive 2-0 victory over Gentle Mates, winning both maps with scores of 13-10 and 13-10 [2]. This pattern mirrors other instances where top-tier Asian teams have overwhelmed European squads in high-stakes BO3 formats, where map control and tactical discipline often dictate the outcome. The 0% figure is not an anomaly but a logical extension of this established performance gap.
Traders should monitor live score updates and post-match analyst commentary, as any deviation from the expected script would signal a market shift. The match is live now, with the scoreboard showing 0-0 at the start of the BO3 [4]. Key dependencies include player availability, in-game strategy adjustments, and potential technical interruptions. Recent coverage from Strafe confirms the match is underway and part of the Group C winners bracket [1]. Funding flows into this market remain robust, driven by seamless deposit rails via SEPA and USDC, which underpin the book’s depth and liquidity. Withdrawal efficiency through Klarna further sustains trader engagement, ensuring the market reflects real-time sentiment rather than speculative noise.
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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