Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Evil Geniuses against Leviatán Esports in a best-of-three at VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha is a straightforward moneyline market, but the current 0% YES price mainly reflects how little funded demand has arrived rather than a clean read on match strength. In practice, these books often stay thin until users can move balances in quickly; frictionless on-ramps such as card deposits, Klarna-style instalments where available, SEPA transfers, or USDC rails can materially affect whether liquidity appears before lock.
Past head-to-head context matters, but it is only a weak guide for a single group-stage series. Leviatán have recent win evidence against Evil Geniuses in VCT Americas play, including a 2-0 result in a 2024 Stage 2 regular-season meeting, which is the sort of comparable that can keep a market pinned near one side if no fresh flow arrives.[4] By contrast, the market’s own settlement rules mean any cancellation, tie, or match pushed beyond the seven-day window without a winner would settle 50-50, so traders are not only pricing the teams but also the event actually being completed on schedule.[1]
The main catalysts are operational rather than strategic: final broadcast scheduling, any venue or server-side delay, and whether the match proceeds as planned inside the wider Stage 2 timetable. Riot’s Americas Stage 2 coverage shows the event is tied to organised ticketing and a fixed Los Angeles schedule, which usually reduces, but does not eliminate, postponement risk.[2] For market depth, the relevant question is whether fresh deposits come in through the easiest funding rail before close; if withdrawals and re-deposits are cumbersome, the order book can stay shallow even when the underlying match is live and well covered.[2]
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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