Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-8.5) vs Eternal Fire (+8.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs Eternal Fire (+7.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-12.5) vs Eternal Fire (+12.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 75% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-9.5) vs Eternal Fire (+9.5) | 52% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-10.5) vs Eternal Fire (+10.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 49% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 26% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Eternal Fire meet Team Heretics in a VCT EMEA Group Omega best-of-three, and the crowd’s 0% YES price suggests the market is treating a home outcome as effectively unavailable or already fully opposed. That can happen when trading is thin, when attention is concentrated on the favoured side, or when funding friction keeps fresh capital from entering quickly enough to move the book.
The closest recent comparator in the public results is the pair’s Stage 1 playoff meeting, which Eternal Fire won 2–1, while other prediction pages for this Stage 2 fixture disagree on the likely winner, with one leaning Eternal Fire and another leaning Team Heretics.[4][2][1] For market reading, that split matters more than any single preview: in esports bo3s, price can stay pinned until liquidity arrives, then re-rate sharply if a first map goes the underdog’s way.
For traders watching payment flows, the main catalysts are whether the match starts on schedule, whether official coverage confirms the line-up and format, and whether any delay or reschedule pushes resolution risk towards a 50–50 outcome under the market rules. On a platform geared to Klarna, SEPA and USDC on-ramps, depth often follows the fastest deposit rail rather than the strongest view, so the orderbook can widen or harden around payout convenience as much as around team news.
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT … on Polymarket Klarna UK
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