Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
EDward Gaming and TYLOO are set to face off in a Best-of-3 Valorant match within the VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha, scheduled for 8:00 AM ET on 15 July. The market currently implies a 0% probability that EDward Gaming will win, a stark divergence from their recent head-to-head history where EDG secured a decisive 2-0 victory over TYLOO in the same tournament stage last year [1][2].
Historical precedents in this fixture suggest the 0% implied probability likely reflects a data error or a specific roster suspension rather than genuine competitive weakness, as EDG has previously dominated TYLOO in this exact stage with a clean sweep [1]. Comparable cases in VCT China show that when odds collapse to zero for a historically superior team, it often precedes a rapid correction once the underlying cause—such as a player illness or administrative delay—is clarified, restoring depth to the book.
Traders should monitor official VCT China announcements for roster confirmations or match postponements, as a delay beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 settlement regardless of team strength. Recent coverage of the 2025 fixture confirms TYLOO’s vulnerability against EDG in this stage, making the current pricing an anomaly that hinges entirely on whether the match proceeds as scheduled or faces cancellation [3]. Funding flows via Klarna and SEPA will likely surge only if the probability corrects, as deposit friction currently suppresses book depth on such extreme outliers.
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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