Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
100 Thieves are due to play Sentinels in a best-of-three VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega match, but the market is showing 0% YES, which is hard to reconcile with the event itself being listed on the Stage 2 schedule and by match trackers as a live Group Omega fixture.[4][5][12] If that reading reflects thin funding rather than a true view on the teams, the main issue is not the competitive setup but whether traders can get money in quickly enough: markets with poor deposit on-ramps, higher fees, or slower withdrawal routes tend to stay shallow, especially when most capital is still waiting on clearer confirmation rather than an early edge.
Historically, this pairing has leaned towards Sentinels. Strafe lists 19 prior meetings, with Sentinels winning 15 and 100 Thieves winning 4, and the most recent head-to-head on 19 April 2026 finished 2-0 to Sentinels.[5][7] That record matters because prediction-market pricing in esports often tracks recent head-to-head results more than broader reputation, but it can swing sharply when a team’s form changes or when traders can efficiently recycle balances through familiar rails such as SEPA or USDC rather than card payments with extra friction.
For catalysts, the key watchpoints are simple: confirm the match actually starts on schedule, check for any bracket or server-side changes, and monitor whether either roster is altered before map one.[5][12][16] Because settlement is contingent on a completed winner, any postponement beyond seven days, cancellation, or unresolved partial match would push the market to 50-50 under the rules, so even late-stage scheduling notices matter more than usual. In practice, fresh liquidity usually arrives only once the official broadcast, match page, and series time all line up, and that is where payment ease becomes relevant: faster top-ups and lower withdrawal drag usually translate into tighter spreads and deeper books.
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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