Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 95% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 91% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% |
| Match Winner | 64% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs MIBR LOS (+6.5) | 51% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs MIBR LOS (+8.5) | 51% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs MIBR LOS (+7.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs MIBR LOS (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-11.5) vs MIBR LOS (+11.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs 100 Thieves (+4.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) | 2% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
Market context
Quarterfinal 4 of the Esports World Cup Playoffs sees 100 Thieves face MIBR LOS in a best-of-three Valorant match scheduled for 9:45 AM ET on 10 July. The crowd-implied probability sits at 100% for 100 Thieves, reflecting their dominant recent form against this opponent. In their last recorded playoff encounter during VCT 2026 Americas Stage 1, 100 Thieves secured a 2–0 victory, while MIBR have lost their final five playoff matches this year[1]. This historical disparity mirrors other esports markets where one-sided head-to-head records drive near-certainty pricing, often before on-ramp friction or fee structures can meaningfully alter liquidity depth.
Traders should monitor the live score feed for the match start time and any delay notifications, as the settlement window closes only once a winner is determined or the 7-day delay clause triggers[4][9]. A key catalyst is whether MIBR LOS can break their five-match playoff losing streak, a dependency that currently underpins the market’s binary outcome[1]. Recent coverage of the EWC 2026 event confirms the match is active and scheduled, with no cancellation reported as of today[3]. For platforms integrating Klarna, SEPA, and USDC rails, the depth of this book correlates directly with deposit velocity; higher friction on withdrawal rails typically compresses liquidity in high-probability markets, even when the outcome appears settled.
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports Wo… on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →